Flood Watch Issued for Maui County Through Monday Afternoon
A significant weather system is poised to impact Maui County, with a cold front expected to stall over the islands. This meteorological setup is drawing in deep tropical moisture, creating a high risk of significant rainfall and flash flooding. The National Weather Service has issued a Flood Watch effective from Saturday afternoon, February 8, 2026, through Monday afternoon, February 10, 2026. While the entire county is at risk, windward areas are identified as having the greatest potential for experiencing flash flooding events.
This weather pattern, exacerbated by an upper-level disturbance moving over the state, suggests a persistent threat of heavy downpours, scattered thunderstorms, and the possibility of rapid water level rises in streams, rivers, and low-lying areas. Businesses and residents should anticipate potential disruptions to transportation and essential services.
Who's Affected
Real Estate Owners
Property owners, landlords, and property managers in Maui County are directly exposed to the risk of flash flooding. This includes residential and commercial properties. Windward coastal properties and those situated in flood-prone valleys or near waterways are at the highest risk. Without timely preparation, owners could face significant costs associated with water damage to structures, electrical systems, and foundations. Rental income could be interrupted due to uninhabitable units or tenant displacement.
Tourism Operators
Hotels, vacation rental managers, tour operators, and hospitality businesses on Maui are vulnerable to operational disruptions. Heavy rainfall and flash flooding can lead to cancelled tours, making beaches and hiking trails inaccessible, and disrupting transportation for visitors needing airport transfers or excursions. Guest experiences may be negatively impacted, leading to potential complaints and review issues. Furthermore, road closures due to flooding could impede staff access to properties and services.
Small Business Operators
Retail shops, restaurants, service providers, and other small businesses are at risk, particularly those located in coastal or low-lying areas, and especially in windward communities. Inventory and equipment can be damaged by floodwaters. Business operations may need to be suspended, leading to lost revenue and potential staff scheduling issues. Access to supplies and the ability of customers to reach the business could also be severely compromised.
Agriculture and Food Producers
Farms, ranches, and aquaculture operations on Maui face significant threats. Heavy rains can lead to crop damage, soil erosion, and waterlogging, which can be detrimental to plant health and yields. Livestock may require relocation to higher ground, and access to pastures or facilities could be cut off. For aquaculture, increased freshwater runoff could alter salinity levels and impact fish or shellfish health. Post-event, the cleanup and assessment of damage could require substantial resources and time.
Second-Order Effects
- Flood Watch activation → Cancelled tours and visitor activity → Reduced demand for hospitality services → Strain on tourism sector revenue.
- Heavy rainfall and flash flooding → Road closures and transportation delays → Increased operational costs for logistics and supply chains → Potential for temporary business closures and inventory shortages.
- Property damage from flooding → Increased demand for repair and construction services → Higher material and labor costs in a constrained market → Longer lead times for infrastructure repairs and business re-openings.
What to Do
Real Estate Owners
- Secure Property: Inspect basements, ground floors, and any vulnerable areas for potential water ingress. Move valuable equipment and inventory to higher ground. Clear storm drains and gutters to ensure proper water runoff.
- Communicate with Tenants: Inform tenants of the Flood Watch and provide guidance on personal and property preparedness. If rental units are at risk, advise tenants on temporary relocation options.
- Review Insurance: Verify flood insurance coverage for properties. Understand policy limitations and claim procedures. Given the immediate nature of the threat, immediate reporting of any damage after the event is crucial.
- Monitor Forecasts: Stay updated on the National Weather Service advisories and local emergency management updates throughout the weekend and into Monday.
Tourism Operators
- Customer Communication: Proactively inform guests about the potential for weather-related disruptions. Adjust booking policies for cancellations or changes due to adverse weather if possible, and communicate these adjustments clearly.
- Operational Adjustments: Review tour schedules and activities. Prepare to cancel or modify offerings that depend on outdoor conditions or are in flood-prone areas. Ensure transportation providers are aware of potential road closures.
- Staffing and Safety: Ensure staff are prepared for potential interruptions and have clear safety protocols in place. Confirm staff can safely travel to and from work or arrange for alternative accommodations if necessary.
- Property Checks: Inspect hotel grounds, especially lower levels and outdoor event spaces, for drainage and potential flooding. Secure outdoor furniture and equipment that could be damaged or become hazards.
Small Business Operators
- Inventory and Equipment Protection: Secure or elevate inventory and critical equipment, especially if your business is located in a flood-prone zone. Consider temporary barriers for entryways.
- Business Interruption Planning: Develop a plan for temporary closure if necessary. Communicate with employees regarding potential work disruptions and safety.
- Supply Chain Check: Assess the potential for disruption to deliveries of goods and services. Identify alternative suppliers or delivery routes if possible, though options may be limited given the broad nature of the weather event.
- Digital Preparedness: Ensure critical business data is backed up remotely. If possible, prepare to operate remotely if physical access is compromised.
Agriculture and Food Producers
- Livestock Safety: Relocate livestock to higher ground or more secure shelters, ensuring they have access to feed and water.
- Crop Protection: For high-value crops, consider temporary protective measures if feasible. Monitor fields for signs of erosion and potential damage.
- Infrastructure Assessment: Check irrigation systems, drainage canals, and farm buildings for potential damage or blockage. Ensure access roads to fields and facilities are clear or have alternative routes.
- Post-Flood Management: Prepare for post-flood assessment, including damage evaluation, soil testing, and potential replanting or recovery efforts. Coordinate with local agricultural extension services for guidance.
Action Details: All affected roles should treat this Flood Watch as an imminent threat. Implement preparedness steps for property, operations, and personnel before Saturday afternoon, February 8, 2026, to mitigate risks of damage and business interruption through Monday afternoon, February 10, 2026. Key actions include securing assets, communicating with stakeholders, and monitoring official advisories.
