Maui's Vacation Rental Phase-Out: A Turning Point for Real Estate and Tourism

·4 min read

The Maui County Council has approved a bill to phase out over 7,000 vacation rentals by 2031, sparking both celebration and concern within the local business community. While proponents see this as a move to address the housing crisis and prioritize long-term residents, critics fear the policy could backfire, leading to vacant properties and economic instability.

Beautiful modern house with manicured lawn under a clear blue sky.
Photo by Curtis Adams

In a decisive move with significant implications for Hawaii's economy, the Maui County Council passed the second reading of Bill 9, paving the way for the phase-out of approximately 7,000 vacation rentals by 2031. This decision, finalized on December 15, 2025, marks a pivotal moment in the ongoing debate over the island's housing crisis and the role of the tourism industry. The council's 5-3 vote reflects the deep divisions within the community, with supporters hailing the measure as a step towards prioritizing local residents and opponents warning of potential economic repercussions.

The initiative, as reported by Hawaii Business Journals, aims to convert short-term vacation rentals, primarily those operating in apartment-zoned districts, into long-term residential housing. The primary goal is to address the severe housing shortage, exacerbated by the devastating 2023 wildfires. Proponents argue that the current tourism-driven economy has become unsustainable, pricing out local families and contributing to a lack of affordable housing options. This sentiment is echoed by community members who believe the legislation creates a more balanced approach for the island.

However, the bill is not without its critics. Concerns have been raised by property owners, real estate professionals, and some local business leaders who predict negative economic consequences. A major worry is that instead of converting the units to long-term rentals, owners might simply choose to leave them vacant, further reducing the available housing supply and potentially impacting property values. Additionally, there are concerns about the loss of tax revenue and the potential for job losses in an already tourism-dependent economy. Some industry experts, such as the Maui Chamber of Commerce, have suggested that while the intention is good, the economic impact must be carefully considered, and perhaps, more comprehensive plans should be implemented before or alongside this sort of legislation.

The long-term effects of this policy remain uncertain. The success of the vacation rental phase-out will depend on several factors, including the willingness of property owners to adapt, the availability of incentives for conversions, and the overall health of the Maui economy. The coming years will be critical in determining whether this bold move by the Maui County Council achieves its goals of creating a more sustainable and equitable community for all of its residents.

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