Potential Supply Chain Disruptions and Operational Halts Loom for Hawaii Businesses Due to Flood Watch
Executive Brief
A National Weather Service Flood Watch has been issued for most Hawaiian Islands, signaling potential heavy rainfall and localized flooding over the next 48-72 hours. Businesses should prepare for possible transportation delays, reduced access, and impacts on operations. Monitor weather updates and activate contingency plans.
- Small Business Operators: Expect potential delivery delays, reduced customer traffic, and possible staff transportation issues.
- Real Estate Owners: Assess properties for flood risks; ensure drainage systems are clear and consider temporary protective measures.
- Tourism Operators: Prepare for potential visitor impacts, tour cancellations, and flight delays.
- Agriculture & Food Producers: Monitor crop and livestock conditions for potential damage and plan for localized transportation challenges.
Action: Activate internal emergency preparedness plans and monitor official weather advisories. No immediate mandatory action is required, but heightened vigilance is necessary.
The Change
As of Sunday, February 23, 2026, the National Weather Service (NWS) has issued a Flood Watch for the majority of the Hawaiian Islands, effective for the next 48 to 72 hours. This watch indicates that conditions are favorable for heavy rainfall, which could lead to localized flooding across streams, urban areas, and low-lying regions. While not a warning of imminent flooding, it serves as a critical alert for residents and businesses to be prepared for potential adverse weather impacts.
Who's Affected
Small Business Operators Small businesses, particularly those reliant on physical supply chains or customer foot traffic, face potential disruptions. Delivery schedules may be impacted by road closures or hazardous driving conditions, leading to stock shortages for retail and restaurant operations. Reduced accessibility for customers and staff due to localized flooding could lead to decreased revenue. Businesses with physical locations in flood-prone areas should review their preparedness for potential property damage and operational downtime.
Real Estate Owners Property owners, landlords, and property managers must assess their assets for potential flood risks. Properties situated in low-lying areas or near natural drainage channels are particularly vulnerable. Ensuring that drainage systems on and around the property are clear of debris is a proactive step. For commercial properties, landlords may need to communicate with tenants about potential access issues or any necessary temporary protective measures.
Tourism Operators Hotels, tour companies, and vacation rental operators should anticipate potential impacts on visitor experiences and operations. Heavy rainfall can lead to cancellations of outdoor tours and activities. Travelers may face flight delays or cancellations, impacting occupancy rates and the overall visitor flow. Businesses should have communication protocols in place to inform guests about potential weather-related disruptions and alternative arrangements.
Agriculture & Food Producers Farmers, ranchers, and food producers need to monitor weather forecasts closely for field conditions. Excessive rainfall can lead to crop damage, soil erosion, and challenges in harvesting. Livestock may also be at risk depending on the severity of the flooding. Localized flooding can impede the transportation of produce to markets, affecting distribution and potentially increasing spoilage.
Second-Order Effects
Localized flooding can exacerbate existing logistical challenges in Hawaii's isolated economy. For example, widespread road closures or severe traffic congestion due to heavy rain can delay essential goods from reaching ports and distribution centers. This can lead to temporary shortages of critical supplies for small businesses and agriculture, potentially increasing operational costs if expedited shipping is required. Additionally, impacts on tourism infrastructure, such as damaged roads or flooded attractions, can have a cascading effect on the wider hospitality sector and local employment.
What to Do
Small Business Operators: Review and activate your business continuity and emergency preparedness plans. Ensure staff are aware of any potential communication channels for work status updates. Secure any outdoor inventory or equipment that could be damaged by heavy rain or flooding. Have a contingency plan for potential delays in deliveries of goods and supplies.
Real Estate Owners: Conduct a property inspection, focusing on drainage systems, sump pumps, and any historically flood-prone areas. Clear gutters and storm drains of debris. Communicate with tenants regarding potential weather impacts and preparedness measures. For properties with a history of flooding, consider temporary flood barriers.
Tourism Operators: Monitor flight and travel advisories. Prepare to communicate potential disruptions to guests proactively. Have flexible cancellation or rescheduling policies in place for tours and activities impacted by weather. Ensure your staff are prepared for potential changes in guest needs or operational requirements due to weather.
Agriculture & Food Producers: Monitor weather predictions and field conditions closely. Secure livestock and assess any immediate risks to crops or equipment. Evaluate your supply chain for potential delays and communicate with buyers regarding potential delivery adjustments. Have a plan for managing excess water or potential crop damage.
Action Details
Businesses should monitor updates from the National Weather Service (National Weather Service Honolulu) and local emergency management agencies. If flood watches are upgraded to flood warnings or if specific advisories indicate significant local impacts, trigger contingency plans, including potential temporary closures, staff reassignment, or activation of supply chain alternatives. Be prepared for potential disruptions to last through the weekend.
