The Federal Reserve, often referred to as the Fed, is the central bank of the United States, and its primary tool for managing the economy is the federal funds rate. This rate is the target interest rate that commercial banks charge each other for the overnight lending of funds. Changes to this rate can have a substantial impact on various aspects of the economy, from consumer spending to business investment.
When the Fed lowers interest rates, borrowing becomes cheaper. This can stimulate economic activity as businesses and individuals are more likely to take out loans for expansion or purchases. Conversely, when the Fed raises interest rates, borrowing becomes more expensive, potentially cooling down economic growth to curb inflation. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) typically meets eight times a year to decide whether to raise, lower, or maintain the federal funds rate, which then influences interest rates across the economy Bankrate.
For Hawaii's business community, understanding these fluctuations is vital. For instance, real estate developers should closely monitor rate changes, because higher rates can increase mortgage costs, potentially cooling the housing market. Businesses seeking capital for expansion will also feel the effects, as loan costs rise and fall in tandem with the federal funds rate. A recent announcement from NerdWallet indicated a potential decrease in September 2025.