Want the Latest Newsletter?
Newsletters on our website are 7 days behind. Subscribe for free to receive the newest edition directly in your inbox every saturday morning!


AI Risks, Federal Funding Opportunities, and Agricultural Pests Demand Immediate Business Action
Hawaii businesses must immediately address security vulnerabilities and outdated IT models presented by the emergence of autonomous AI agents. Operators of cattle farms on Hawaii Island need to implement urgent strategies to mitigate the financial impact of the escalating spittlebug infestation. Additionally, entities on Maui and Molokaʻi should prepare to engage with project leads within the next 90 days to capitalize on $75 million in federal funding, understanding new resource demands and partnership avenues. Several developing trends warrant close monitoring. Hawaii's tourism sector faces a potential margin squeeze as visitor spending increasingly favors premium experiences. The broader state economy exhibits characteristics of struggling regions, suggesting a need to watch for out-migration and declining local consumer demand. Investors and entrepreneurs should also track potential strategic shifts at Bank of Hawaii following its CEO transition and monitor evolving affordable housing development models, particularly the proposed 'Vienna Model,' which could reshape the real estate landscape. Finally, anticipate potential disruptions in interisland transportation, including reduced seat availability or increased costs due to changes in pilot agreements. The immediate imperatives stem from the rapid deployment of AI, which introduces new cybersecurity threats and operational inefficiencies that require prompt IT infrastructure review. The significant federal investment in Maui and Molokaʻi offers a concrete window for strategic engagement, demanding proactive planning to access resources and forge partnerships. Concurrently, the agricultural sector confronts an existential threat from the spittlebug, necessitating swift intervention to protect profitability. These developments underscore a period of both urgent challenges and distinct opportunities across key sectors of the Hawaiian economy.
Top Headlines Of The Week In Each Category
AI & Technology

Autonomous AI Agents Now Operating Outside Labs: Hawaii Businesses Face Immediate Security Risks and Inefficient IT Models
The widespread adoption of autonomous AI agents capable of executing tasks and interacting with business systems marks a critical shift, demanding urgent reassessment of cybersecurity, operational protocols, and existing software licensing models. Hawaii businesses must act now to govern these powerful new tools and mitigate significant security vulnerabilities.
Read full article →Tourism & Hospitality

Hawaii Tourism Operators Face Margin Squeeze as Visitor Spending Shifts to Higher-Value Experiences
Record visitor spending in 2025, achieved with fewer visitors, signals a shift towards higher per-capita expenditure. Tourism operators must adapt pricing and offerings to capture this value, while investors should re-evaluate market segments. Monitor visitor demographics and spending trends for potential shifts in demand. - Tourism Operators: Potential for increased revenue per visitor, but risk of alienating price-sensitive segments. Requires strategic pricing and experience enhancement. - Investors: Opportunities in luxury and niche tourism segments; potential for reduced volume in mass-market offerings. - Small Business Operators: Increased disposable income among high-spending visitors may boost demand for premium local goods and services. - Real Estate Owners: Properties catering to higher-spending tourists could see increased demand and rental rates. - **Action**: Watch visitor demographic data and average daily spending per visitor for indicators of sustained value shift.
Read full article →Business & Startups

Hawaii's Economy Now Mirrors Struggling States: Watch for Out-Migration and Reduced Local Demand
A recent University of Hawaii report indicates Hawaii's economy now performs similarly to those of Alabama, West Virginia, and Mississippi, despite average resident incomes. This economic trajectory signals a heightened risk of skilled labor out-migration and a potential contraction in local consumer spending, necessitating a watchful approach for businesses reliant on the domestic market. - Small Business Operators: Potential for increased labor costs due to out-migration and reduced local customer spending within 3-6 months. - Real Estate Owners: Monitor demand for commercial and residential properties as population shifts occur. - Investors: Assess increased risk in Hawaii-focused ventures due to sustained economic underperformance. - Tourism Operators: Be aware of potential shifts in visitor demographics and spending habits. - Entrepreneurs & Startups: Talent acquisition may become more challenging, and local market growth could be slower. - Agriculture & Food Producers: Reduced local demand could impact revenue streams. - Healthcare Providers: Potential for increased demand for services driven by population health needs, but with potentially constrained patient spending. - **Action**: Monitor labor availability and local consumer spending indicators closely over the next 6-12 months. Be prepared to adjust staffing and marketing strategies if significant negative trends emerge.
Read full article →Real-Estate & Development

Maui and Molokaʻi Projects Unlock Near-Term Opportunities and Resource Demands from $75M Federal Funding
Nearly $75 million in federal earmark funding has been secured for critical projects on Maui and Molokaʻi, including healthcare facility upgrades and affordable housing development. Entities involved in these sectors must act within 90 days to leverage these opportunities. - Healthcare Providers: Hale Makua Health Services can move forward with nursing home bed replacement. - Real Estate Owners: Lānaʻi affordable housing project can commence its first phase, creating development and supply chain demand. - Investors: Opportunities exist in supporting infrastructure and services related to these projects. - Agriculture & Food Producers: Potential indirect benefits through increased local economic activity and demand. - **Action**: Engage with project leads within 90 days to understand partnership and supply opportunities.
Read full article →Finance & Investment

Potential Shifts in Banking Strategy Underway at Bank of Hawaii Following CEO Transition
Bank of Hawaii's long-standing CEO, Peter Ho, is retiring March 31, to be succeeded by James Polk. This leadership change may influence future lending policies and business banking relationships across Hawaii's core industries. Stakeholders should monitor for evolving strategic priorities to ensure continuity in financial operations. - Small Business Operators: Assess current credit lines and banking relationships for potential adjustments. - Investors: Observe any shifts in the bank's investment portfolio or commercial lending appetite. - Entrepreneurs & Startups: Prepare for potential changes in access to capital and banking services. - **Action**: Monitor Bank of Hawaii's public statements and direct communications for strategic shifts.
Read full article →Policy & Regulation

Affordable Housing Fund Surpluses Could Shift Development Landscape Under Proposed 'Vienna Model'
A bill advancing in the State Senate proposes adopting the 'Vienna Model' for affordable housing, which could redirect surplus funds from limited-profit housing associations towards new development. Real estate owners and investors should monitor legislative outcomes for potential shifts in development incentives and funding mechanisms. - Real Estate Owners: Potential for new affordable housing development models impacting land use and investment opportunities. - Investors: Emerging opportunities in limited-profit housing associations and affordable housing projects. - Entrepreneurs & Startups: New avenues for partnerships or innovative solutions in affordable housing delivery. - **Action**: Monitor legislative progress and policy details for potential impacts on future projects.
Read full article →Infrastructure & Transportation

Interisland Flights Face Potential Seat Reductions or Increased Costs Due to Pilot Agreement Changes
A new pilot agreement provision impacting several Hawaii interisland routes could lead to reduced flight capacity, altered seating, or price increases. Businesses and individuals relying on consistent air travel should monitor flight availability and adjust booking strategies to mitigate potential disruptions and cost overruns. - Tourism Operators: Potential for reduced visitor capacity and increased transportation costs. - Small Business Operators: Higher travel expenses for staff, potential delays in goods/service delivery. - Remote Workers: Increased cost of living, potential difficulty in travel plans. - Investors: Shifts in tourism sector profitability, potential impact on travel-dependent businesses. - Entrepreneurs: Increased travel costs for talent acquisition and business development. - Action: Monitor flight schedules and pricing for key routes; consider booking business travel further in advance.
Read full article →Sustainability & Resources

Hawaii Island Cattle Operations Face Immediate Profitability Squeeze from Escalating Spittlebug Infestation
The accelerating spread of the two-lined spittlebug on Hawaii Island is now directly impacting cattle ranchers by degrading pasture quality and increasing feed costs, threatening operational viability. Immediate risk mitigation and strategic planning are required.
Read full article →